Career Trajectory Underwriting
Your next key hire
is already leaving.
TalentOracle reads a career sequence and tells you who's at risk, when they'll leave, and exactly what it costs to keep them — before the recruiter calls. Paste a resume. Report in 60 seconds.
No IT required · No HRIS access needed · No credit card · Audit trail on every output
Specimen Report
Senior Software Engineer
Acme Robotics · Series B
Retention Risk
Est. departure window · 6–14 months
3-Year Earnings Trajectory
Year 1
$230,000
$205,000 – $258,000
Year 2
$265,000
$232,000 – $305,000
Year 3
$300,000
$255,000 – $358,000
CAGR (base)
+14.3%
CAGR range
+11.5% – +17.8%
Top Driving Signals
- Tenure past exit cadence
- Title compression vs scope
- Top-quartile market desirability
The problem
$1.2M
Average total cost of a key employee departure
Recruiting fees. Ramp time. Missed milestones. Team disruption. The deals that slip, the features that don't ship, the investors who notice the churn.
The average company finds out when the resignation letter lands. The signals — tenure past exit cadence, comp lag, title compression — were visible 90 days earlier.
TalentOracle reads those signals. You get the 90 days back.
No IT required
Works from a resume — no HRIS access, no internal data, no 6-week implementation. Paste text, get a report.
No survey data
Workday and Visier score engagement. We underwrite the career. Forward-looking signals, not backward-looking sentiment.
No black box
Every prediction traces to a signal. Every signal to the resume. Model version and confidence level always visible.
The Report
Six questions. All answered. In 60 seconds.
Most tools give you a score. TalentOracle gives you a verdict, a reason, and a playbook — traceable to the specific signals in this person's career.
Will this person leave?
Retention risk score 0–100. Color-coded tier. Estimated departure window in months. Not a gut check — a reasoned prediction grounded in cross-company career signals.
When, and why?
The specific signals driving the score — tenure past exit cadence, comp lag vs. market, title compression, trajectory stall — each with directional weight and plain-English explanation.
What will it cost to keep them?
A ranked intervention playbook: the action, the rationale, estimated risk reduction, timeline, and cost. Ordered by impact. Ready to bring to the next 1:1.
Where are they going next?
Next-move projection: the single most likely role, company profile, timeline, and alternative paths. Helps you understand what you're actually competing against.
What's their trajectory worth?
3-year earnings forecast with conservative, base, and aggressive bands. CAGR range, not a point estimate. Tells you what comp adjustment actually buys you.
How do you know this is right?
Full audit trail on every report. Every claim traces to a signal; every signal to the resume. Model version, pipeline version, confidence level — all visible.
The Engine
Six specialist agents. One traceable verdict.
Each step is a discrete reasoning agent with a strict output contract. Nothing is a black box — the chain that produced the score is preserved on every report. Read the methodology →
01
Extract
Normalize the career sequence — titles, tenure, stages, comp bands.
02
Analyze
Detect momentum, risk, inflection, anchor and ceiling signals.
03
Forecast
Project 3-year earnings bands and retention risk with confidence.
04
Intervene
Rank retention levers by estimated impact and feasibility.
05
Explain
Translate the model into board-ready, probabilistic narrative.
06
Assemble
Compile the report with a full, traceable audit trail.
Who Uses It
Built for the people who run companies.
PE Operating Partners
The problem: A single key departure at a portfolio company costs $1.2M and six months of momentum. You find out when the resignation letter lands.
With TalentOracle: Score every critical hire across the portfolio in a single upload. Know who's at risk before the recruiter calls.
HR Leaders
The problem: Engagement surveys tell you someone is unhappy. They don't tell you who's already interviewing — or how much runway you have.
With TalentOracle: Retention risk ranked by probability, departure window, and estimated comp gap. Act before the offer comes in.
Hiring Managers
The problem: You screen candidates on skills and experience. You don't see their trajectory — whether they'll stay 18 months or 5 years.
With TalentOracle: Paste a candidate's resume at the offer stage. Get predicted tenure, flight risk at hire, and the red flags to probe.
The math
Cost per report
$10–30
Per employee analyzed
Cost of one departure
$1.2M
Industry average, key employee
ROI on one prevented departure
40,000×
Conservative estimate
You don't need to prevent every departure. You need to prevent one. The platform pays for itself the first time it works.
Right now
Someone on your team
is updating their resume.
Paste their resume. Find out their risk score, departure window, and what it would cost to keep them — before they accept the next offer.
No credit card required · No IT required · Report in 60 seconds
Running a PE portfolio or need to score more than 25 employees? Talk to us about portfolio pricing →